The CBO Says Trumpcare Won't Cover Everybody With Pre-Existing Conditions

Freda Brock | 25 May, 2017, 06:06

Keep in mind, if Congress simply took a sledgehammer to the Affordable Care Act, and replaced it with nothing, the CBO has found that 23 million Americans would lose their health coverage - suggesting the Republican plan is comparable to doing nothing except destroying without legislating.

The CBO predicted that the health bill would create government savings of $119 billion over the next 10 years.

The future of the bill hinged upon this report, as House Republicans passed their most recent version of the bill without waiting for the CBO to report its estimated price tag.

That compares with 28 million under age 65 who would lack insurance that year under the current health law signed by President Barack Obama. The CBO estimates premiums would jump about 20 percent under the AHCA in the first year and increase an additional 5 percent in the second year of implementation.

The latest CBO score comes about three weeks after the bill, named the American Health Care Act, passed the House. Those most invested in the health care debate today did what Republican lawmakers refused to do: learn about the real-world effects of the GOP legislation.

But significant changes were made to the original bill to help push it through the House. In those states, the reductions for younger people would be substantially larger and for older people, the reductions would be substantially smaller.

The American Health Care Act also would allow insurers to charge higher rates to persons with preexisting conditions who experience a lapse in coverage. "Millions of Americans will become uninsured - with low-income families on Medicaid being hit the hardest", The American Medical Association said in a statement. That was before Republican leaders eliminated essential health benefits and piled on other conservative sweeteners to gain the support of the far-right House Freedom Caucus.

The CBO Says Trumpcare Won't Cover Everybody With Pre-Existing Conditions

The House waited for the CBO score before sending the bill to the Senate, making sure that it passed a procedural bar that would allow it to get through the Senate with a majority vote.

Even before the report, many Republican senators were wary of the House version of the healthcare bill, saying it unraveled Obamacare too much and too quickly. "Nongroup markets in those states would become unstable for people with higher-than-average expected health care costs", the report finds.

With all CBO reports, Wednesday's analysis notes that there are a number of factors that contribute to the uncertainty of its forecasts but that it "endeavored to develop estimates that are in the middle of the distribution of potential outcomes".

"I think they're excellent because we're in the midst of keeping our promises", Ryan said at event hosted by Axios. "The report makes clear Trumpcare would be a cancer on the American healthcare system", Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer said at a news conference.

Mr Trump's team reacted by saying CBO has shown itself to be "totally incapable" of accurately predicting the effects of U.S. health care law.

The savings in the bill are mostly the result of capping federal funding to states for the Medicaid program for those with low incomes and scaling back the tax credits that help some people with low and modest incomes pay for private insurance.

The Congressional Budget Office has just released its long-awaited scoring of the TrumpCare, or Trump-Ryan health care bill that repeals and "replaces" ObamaCare.

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The CBO Says Trumpcare Won't Cover Everybody With Pre-Existing Conditions

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