Sunday, 22 July, 2018

System in Caribbean has 70 percent chance of tropical development

New predictions for hurricanes, storms in the Caribbean this season National Hurricane Center monitoring two tropical disturbances
Frank Williams | 08 July, 2018, 05:32

This forecast is very close to what we consider an average season - 12 named storms, 6.5 hurricanes and two major hurricanes.

Tropical Depression Three was 525 miles west of Bermuda at 6pm, with winds of about 30mph and gusts of 40mph.

On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will approach the Lesser Antilles over the weekend, cross the island chain late Sunday or Monday, and move south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday and Monday night.

The top sustained winds around Beryl increased to 65 miles per hour, but the storm is still very small in overall diameter.

"Weakening is expected once Beryl reaches the eastern Caribbean Sea on Monday", forecasters said. Tropical storm watches are in effect for Barbados, St. Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, St. Martin and St. Barthelemy.

High pressure over the Great Lakes will continue to bring breezy and cooler weather to Hampton Roads while Tropical Depression #3 continues to slowly strengthen off the North Carolina coast. While disorganized, showers and storms continue to develop in this areas and conditions may become more favorable for tropical development over the next few days.

The National Hurricane Center forecast cone that we show on WECT products is the official and best resource for storm intensity and track information.

Croatia beat Russian Federation on penalties to set up England semi-final
Russian Federation has been basking in the spotlight this World Cup , playing to the roaring crowds at home and winning games. The 90 minutes ended 1-1 before the referee signaled for the start of the extra time .

Still, the storm is expected to impact some islands in the Caribbean even if it doesn't directly pass over them. Beryl has turned more towards the WNW since yesterday and the center of the storm is now mostly devoid of strong convection.

Forecasters previously predicted this season would near-normal or above-normal, with 10 to 16 named storms.

The team also lowered its forecast of major hurricanes - Category 3 and above - from three to one and decreased the probability of a direct hit on the USA coast from a major hurricane from 63 percent to 39 percent. Four of those storms are projected to be hurricanes with wind speeds of 74 miles per hour (119 kilometers per hour).

This event is related to the ITCZ ( Inter Tropical Convergence Zone) being modulated by Tropical Depression #2 (now Tropical Storm Beryl).

The hurricane center put the chances of it becoming a tropical depression at 40 percent over the next five days, which is down from 60 percent on Wednesday.

Tropical waves are areas of low air pressure which move from east to west across the tropics, causing areas of cloudiness and thunderstorms.

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