Saturday, 17 November, 2018

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England

A plow makes its way under a railroad bridge as light snow falls during a snowstorm March 21 in Lebanon N.J A plow makes its way under a railroad bridge as light snow falls during a snowstorm March 21 in Lebanon N.J
Frank Williams | 19 October, 2018, 20:24

According to NOAA, in ME, the three-month average snowfall in Portland, across December, January and February, is 14.8 inches, in Bangor 16.1 inches, and in Caribou, 23.4 inches.

No parts of the country are due to see a colder-than-normal winter.

The outlook says El Nino has a 70 to 75 percent chance of developing.

During that time, an Arctic cold front will move across the USA and produce bitter winds and a drop in the temperature over much of the U.S.

Center Deputy Director Mike Halpert said in a statement a "weak El Nino" could bring "warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North". This change in sea surface temperature has a wide range of effects on seasonal weather patterns across the globe, but in the USA, an El Niño typically means warmer winter temperatures, and higher levels of precipitation in certain regions of the country.

El Nino is an ocean-atmosphere climate interaction that is linked to periodic warming in sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

Don't reach for those hand-warmers just yet - it may be a mild winter in most of the United States this year.

Elsewhere in the country, the Pacific Northwest has a much greater likelihood of warmer temperatures this winter.

The Southeast, Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic can go any which way on temperature, Halpert said.

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Kentucky has equal chances for both above and below average temperatures according to NOAA's outlook.

2018-19 Winter Outlook map for temperature.

Meanwhile, the southern-third of the US and much of the East Coast could be hunkering down for a wetter than normal December through January. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation this winter.

Meantime, drier-than-average conditions are expected for the Great Lakes and portions of the Northern Rockies and the Northern Plains.

Drought conditions may worsen in much of Southern and Central California, although the north coast of California may see some relief, according to NOAA.

-This outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations.

"Snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance".

Cold air and even some snow blanketed areas of Maine Thursday, but the National Weather Service predictions indicate that Maine might experience a milder-than-average winter.

NOAA also doesn't forecast specific snow ranges for the season as there's very little accuracy this far out. The next update will be available on November 15.

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