Saturday, 17 November, 2018

Midterm election a ‘big day’ for Republicans

CAMBRIDGE MA.- NOVEMBER 6 Senator Elizabeth Warren voting US: Democrats take the House, but there was no landslide – Nordea Markets
Laurie Berry | 09 November, 2018, 14:01

Yesterday's Midterm results underscored that, for now, those days are gone. President Trump won because he now has a Senate that can quickly confirm his judicial and cabinet nominees.

Yesterday's results highlighted the fact that the focal point of the struggle for electoral superiority over the next two years and probably beyond will be in the suburbs. Reps. Jeff Denham (R-CA) and Mimi Walters (R-CA) now hold small leads, as does Republican Young Kim in an open Orange County seat, while Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (R-CA) trails by a bit.

Former U.S. ambassador to Singapore David Adelman added that Democrats are traditionally "the more protectionist party", while Republicans have grown "extremely hawkish" on China, so the trade war might be one of the few issues where the two parties share abundant common ground.

Donald Trump came to the East Room of the White House with olive branch in hand, but it sometimes seemed like his fingers were crossed behind his back. But on trade policy, one of the areas most relevant for the worldwide community, Trump enjoys executive power and can set the terms regardless of whether Congress is divided or not. Democratic favorite Conor Lamb, who stunned Washington by winning a special election in the state, beat Republican Rep. Keith Rothfus in a new district.

And then the White House would hope "Republicans take the House (of Representatives in the 2020 election) and nobody is demanding (the tax returns) at that point". But party strategists acknowledged that much work remains to be done in those Midwest battlegrounds.

"This isn't just the year of the woman, this is the year of every woman", said Cecile Richards, who served as the president of Planned Parenthood for more than a decade, noting the groundbreaking diversity among the women who have run for office this year. Additionally, the majority of state attorneys general will be Democrats come January. Trump's aggressive campaign blitz, which paid off in some key victories, suggests he is likely to continue leaning into the fray.

Some Republicans sought to explain Michigan's shift to a more purple hue as nearly an inevitability after a long stint of one-party control.

Mr Trump also mocked those Republican candidates who lost their seats after refusing to embrace him on the campaign trail, such as US Representative Barbara Comstock of Virginia.

One downside of the Democrats taking the House is the age old problem of deadlock.

By that this strategist meant that Democrats continue to underperform among white voters, especially those without college degrees, and can not count on being able to motivate minority voters in numbers needed to turn narrow losses into narrow victories. In many of those races, women from suburban swing areas played a decisive role in the outcome.

At least 1,000 structures destroyed by fast-moving fire in Northern California
California wildfires are burning again, with the Camp Fire near Chico the latest large fire to erupt in Northern California. The dry heat and limited rainfall - in some places, no rainfall at all - contributed to the fire's spread. .

Spending to support candidates backing tougher gun control surged this year, even as campaign spending by the NRA declined. Some 59 percent supported GOP Sen.

Democrats made gains in state legislatures across the country on Tuesday, as well as obtaining governorships in seven formerly Republican-held states.

In locking down a majority, Democratic candidates flipped seats in several suburban districts outside Washington, Philadelphia, Miami, Chicago, Denver and Dallas that were considered prime targets for turnover because they were won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. The three states which saw the biggest movement towards the Democrats in 2016 were California, Texas and Arizona. In the Rustbelt/Midwest Democrats won Senate races in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wyoming by large margins; and also won governor's races in and Michigan and Minnesota by very large margins.

The 2010 election results-even more than the 2014 polls-was voters expressing their dissatisfaction with Obama's policies, healthcare in particular.

The Democrats gained more than the 23 seats they needed for a majority in the 435-seat lower chamber.

Some of the data about this year's crop of voters is similar to what we've seen in past contests, but there are some trends that should give both Republicans and Democrats cause for reflection.

Midterm elections are typically hard for the party in power, but the GOP's hold on power was further weakened by an unusually large number of retirements as well as infighting between conservatives and centrists over their allegiance to Trump.

In a midterm election cycle heralded as the "Year of the Woman" because of the record number of female candidates for office and the surging #MeToo movement, women delivered a generally harsh verdict regarding Trump's first two years in office.

Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel argued today that Democrats must build an urban-suburban coalition through issues like healthcare and education and thereby prevent the President from driving a wedge between the two constituencies on other issues. He said he won "without compromising" on women's rights, civil rights of LGBTQ rights and without "caving" to Wall Street, drug companies or the gun lobby and instead celebrating the dignity of work.

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